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Modern Period

1,500 CE – today

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COVID-19

2,020 CE – 2,023 CE · Global Turning Points

A respiratory pandemic that killed millions and disrupted movement, work and supply chains worldwide — the first global pandemic of the connected era.

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A 1734 map in a 2016 courtroom

2,016 CE · Philippines

One of roughly 270 maps presented across hearings from July 2015. Popular accounts often overstate it as the decisive evidence.

When the Philippines brought its South China Sea case to the Permanent Court of Arbitration, the Murillo Velarde map was among roughly 270 historical maps submitted as evidence — it shows Panacot, now Scarborough Shoal, and the Bajos de Paragua. It was one exhibit among many rather than the decisive one, though it is often described otherwise at home. Still: an engraving cut by two Filipinos in 1734 was read into the record of a modern territorial ruling.

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Apartheid ends

1,994 CE · Sub-Saharan Africa

Nelson Mandela becomes president of South Africa after twenty-seven years in prison.

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European Union and the euro

1,993 CE · Europe

Former enemies bind themselves together economically and, partly, politically.

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The triad: climate, migration, pandemic

1,990 CE – 2,026 CE · Global Turning Points

This is an interpretive frame, not an established finding. Historians disagree about how far such patterns predict anything.

Three forces recur at every major transition in this timeline — environmental shock, mass movement of people, and disease. They preceded the 4.2 kiloyear collapse, the Bronze Age Collapse, the fall of the Roman west, and the end of the Middle Ages. All three are present again now. That is a pattern worth noticing, not a prediction.

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The Technological Revolution

1,950 CE · Global Turning Points

Computing, then networking, then near-universal access to both. Information becomes abundant and attention becomes the scarce resource.

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Korea divided

1,948 CE · Korea

Two states, a war that killed millions, and a border that has held for over seventy years.

Read more — Korean War

The Cold War

1,947 CE – 1,991 CE · Europe

Two nuclear-armed blocs avoid direct war for forty-four years.

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World War II

1,939 CE – 1,945 CE · Europe

The deadliest conflict in history, including the Holocaust and the first use of nuclear weapons.

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World War I

1,914 CE – 1,918 CE · Europe

Industrial warfare kills around seventeen million people and destroys four empires.

Read more — World War I

Republic, then People's Republic

1,912 CE – 1,949 CE · China

The last emperor abdicates; decades of war and revolution follow.

Read more — History of the Republic of China

Japanese occupation

1,910 CE – 1,945 CE · Korea

Thirty-five years of colonial rule, ending with liberation and division.

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American rule, Japanese occupation, independence

1,902 CE – 1,946 CE · Philippines

Four decades of American colonial government reshape schooling, language and law. Japan occupies the islands from 1942 to 1945, and the fighting to retake them levels Manila. Independence is formally granted on 4 July 1946, into a country that has to be physically rebuilt.

Read more — History of the Philippines (1898–1946)Image source (unverified) auto-matched

Revolution, and an independence that did not hold

1,896 CE – 1,902 CE · Philippines

Revolution against Spain breaks out in 1896. Independence is declared on 12 June 1898 — and in December the Treaty of Paris transfers the islands from Spain to the United States for twenty million dollars, without Filipino participation. The Philippine-American War follows, and is far bloodier than the war that preceded it.

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The Empire of Japan

1,895 CE – 1,945 CE · Japan

Colonial expansion across Korea, Taiwan, China and Southeast Asia, ending in defeat and occupation.

Read more — Empire of Japan

European colonisation

1,884 CE – 1,960 CE · Sub-Saharan Africa

Africa is partitioned in Berlin without a single African present, and decolonised within eighty years.

Read more — Scramble for Africa

The Meiji Restoration

1,868 CE · Japan

Japan industrialises at extraordinary speed and becomes a major power within a generation.

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The British Raj

1,858 CE – 1,947 CE · India

Direct Crown rule after the 1857 rebellion, ending in independence and partition.

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Napoleon

1,799 CE – 1,815 CE · Europe

He conquers most of Europe, exports the revolution's legal code, and loses at Waterloo.

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The French Revolution

1,789 CE – 1,799 CE · Europe

A monarchy falls, a republic is declared, and the terror that follows shapes every revolution after it.

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The Qajar dynasty

1,789 CE – 1,925 CE · Persia

Persia survives as a state but loses territory and autonomy to Russia and Britain.

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The United States

1,776 CE · North American First Peoples

Thirteen colonies declare independence, and a continental expansion follows.

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The Industrial Revolution

1,760 CE – 1,900 CE · Europe

Steam, coal and factories change how humans live more than anything since farming.

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The Industrial Revolution

1,760 CE – 1,900 CE · Global Turning Points

Fossil energy replaces muscle and water. Population, output and carbon emissions all begin curves they have not come off since. Arguably the largest change in how humans live since farming.

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The Murillo Velarde map

1,734 CE · Philippines

The Jesuit Pedro Murillo Velarde compiles the first scientific map of the Philippines made in the Philippines. It was engraved by two Filipinos — Nicolás de la Cruz Bagay and Francisco Suárez — and framed with twelve panels illustrating the peoples of the islands. It labels a shoal in the western sea Panacot, the first map anywhere to name it. Collectors call it the mother of all Philippine maps.

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The Enlightenment

1,650 CE – 1,800 CE · Europe

Reason, evidence and rights become organising ideas — Descartes, Newton, Voltaire, Rousseau.

Read more — Enlightenment

The rice terraces are younger than you were told

1,650 CE – 1,800 CE · Philippines

Radiocarbon and paleoethnobotanical evidence from the Ifugao Archaeological Project. The widely repeated 2,000-year figure has no evidentiary basis.

The Ifugao terraces are almost always described as two thousand years old. That figure was never measured — it was estimated backwards from how long early researchers assumed the work must have taken. Radiocarbon dating and plant remains from four terrace sites tell a different story: wet-rice terracing expanded rapidly after about 1650, following Spanish arrival in the valley below, and before 1570 the staples here were taro and root crops, not rice. The terraces are not a monument to ancient stillness. They are what a highland society built while absorbing refugees and refusing to be conquered.

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The Qing Dynasty

1,644 CE – 1,912 CE · China

Manchu rulers expand China to its largest extent, then lose ground to European powers and internal revolt.

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The Tokugawa shogunate

1,603 CE – 1,868 CE · Japan

Two and a half centuries of peace, rigid order, and near-total isolation from the outside world.

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Into the first modern atlas

1,570 CE · Philippines

Abraham Ortelius publishes Theatrum Orbis Terrarum, generally counted as the first modern atlas, and the Philippines appear in its Southeast Asian sheets. From this point the islands are a permanent fixture of the European world picture — drawn, named, and claimed from a distance.

cartography Read more — Abraham OrteliusImage source

Spanish rule begins

1,565 CE – 1,898 CE · Philippines

Miguel López de Legazpi establishes a permanent Spanish settlement in 1565; Manila is made the capital in 1571. Over the next three centuries Catholicism becomes the dominant religion of the north and centre, while the Muslim south and the highland interior are never fully brought under control. Spain governs the islands from Mexico for most of this period, not from Madrid.

Read more — History of the Philippines (1565–1898)Image source (unverified) auto-matched

The Manila Galleon

1,565 CE – 1,815 CE · Philippines

For 250 years, ships ran between Manila and Acapulco carrying Chinese silk and porcelain east and American silver west. It was the first sustained trade route to link Asia and the Americas, and the Philippines was the hinge it turned on. Global trade, in the sense we now mean it, starts here.

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The Scientific Revolution

1,543 CE – 1,700 CE · Global Turning Points

Knowledge shifts from what authority asserts to what experiment can verify. It is the single change that makes everything after it possible.

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The islands are named after a Spanish prince

1,543 CE · Philippines

Ruy López de Villalobos names islands near Samar and Leyte Las Islas Filipinas, after Prince Philip of Spain, later Philip II. The name spreads until it covers the whole archipelago. A country of a hundred million people still carries the name of a sixteenth-century Spanish monarch, and periodically debates whether to keep it.

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The Inca Empire falls

1,533 CE · Andean Peoples

Pizarro captures and executes Atahualpa. Smallpox had already killed the previous emperor.

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The Mughal Empire

1,526 CE – 1,857 CE · India

Persianate rulers govern most of the subcontinent, building the Taj Mahal and a vast administrative state.

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Tenochtitlan falls

1,521 CE · Mesoamericans

Cortés, a few hundred Spaniards, tens of thousands of indigenous allies, and smallpox end the Aztec state.

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New Spain

1,521 CE – 1,821 CE · Mesoamericans

Three centuries of Spanish colonial rule over Mexico and much of the Americas.

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Magellan arrives, and dies at Mactan

1,521 CE · Philippines

Ferdinand Magellan's expedition reaches the islands in March 1521, and the first Catholic Mass is held. Six weeks later, on 27 April, Magellan is killed at Mactan by forces under Lapulapu. The defeat is recorded by the expedition's own chronicler, Antonio Pigafetta — this is not a later patriotic embellishment but the Europeans' own account of losing.

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Magellan's expedition circles the globe

1,519 CE – 1,522 CE · Europe

The first circumnavigation. Magellan himself was killed in the Philippines partway through.

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The Reformation

1,517 CE – 1,648 CE · Europe

Luther splits western Christianity, and Europe spends a century and a half fighting about it.

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The Sultanate of Maguindanao

1,515 CE – 1,888 CE · Philippines

Founding is placed around 1515–1520; precise dating is uncertain.

Sharif Kabungsuwan arrives in Mindanao and the Maguindanao sultanate takes shape along the Pulangi river. Together with Sulu it makes the south a region of established Islamic states at the moment Europeans appear in the north.

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European trading posts

1,511 CE – 1,900 CE · Southeast Asia

Portuguese, Dutch, Spanish, British and French establish footholds that harden into colonies.

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The Safavid Empire

1,501 CE – 1,736 CE · Persia

Establishes Shia Islam as Persia's state religion, a decision still shaping the region.

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Contact and catastrophe

1,500 CE – 1,600 CE · North American First Peoples

Epidemic disease moves ahead of European settlers, killing a large majority of the population.

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Baybayin

1,500 CE – 1,700 CE · Philippines

Well attested from the 16th century. Earlier history is poorly documented — do not overstate its age.

A Brahmic-derived script, written in vertical or horizontal lines, in wide use around the islands when the Spanish arrive — early accounts remark on how many ordinary people could write. It fades under colonial rule and Latin script. Its deeper history is thin in the record, so claims about great antiquity should be treated carefully.

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The Atlantic slave trade

1,500 CE – 1,867 CE · West Africa

Roughly twelve million people are forcibly shipped across the Atlantic over three and a half centuries.

Read more — Atlantic Ocean